Democrats hold an eight-point lead on the generic congressional ballot
Democrats lead likely voters by eight points on the generic congressional ballot, a PBS News/NPR/Marist poll found one week before Election Day. Their registered-voter lead is 10 points, down from 12 last month. Democrats have led Marist surveys since last November. 2024 voters for Democrat Kamala Harris were 15 points more likely than 2024 Trump voters to be very enthusiastic.
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Democrats hold an eight-point advantage among likely voters on the generic congressional ballot, according to the latest PBS News/NPR/Marist poll, released one week before Election Day. Among registered voters, the Democratic lead is 10 points, down from 12 last month, a change within the poll’s margin of error. Democrats have led every time Marist has asked since last November, and the race has barely moved over the final month. In October 2018, Democrats held a nine-point edge among likely voters before the party picked up 40 House seats.
Interest is high: 84% of likely voters say they are enthusiastic about voting, including 59% who are very enthusiastic. Among the very enthusiastic, Democrats lead Republicans 71% to 61%. Voters who backed Kamala Harris in 2024 are 15 points more likely than Donald Trump’s 2024 voters to say they are very enthusiastic.
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Verifier’s note
PBS NewsHour reports that the PBS News/NPR/Marist poll gives Democrats an eight-point lead among likely voters, and NPR independently reports the same finding. Both were published today, consistent with the proposed event’s timing.